Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
How Eschatology Affects Effective Altruism
How Eschatology Affects Effective Altruism
Jun 26, 2025 8:33 PM

You may have noticed over the past couple of years that effective altruism has e the hot new trend/buzzword in philanthropy. As the Centre for Effective Altruism explains,

Effective Altruism is a growing social movement bines both the heart and the passion guided by data and reason. It’s about dedicating a significant part of one’s life to improving the world and rigorously asking the question, “Of all the possible ways to make a difference, how can I make the greatest difference?”

As a broad concept, effective altruism is a refreshing change from the mon strand of charity that puts more emphasis on good intentions than effectiveness. Rather than a consumer-driven, feelings-based approach to philanthropic activity (think: TOMS Shoes’ “buy one, give one” model), effective altruism (EA) tends to rely on evidence to maximize individual impact on solving problems.

For example, some EA advocates choose to use their skills to get a high-paying job rather than work directly for a non-proift or charity. The thinking is that instead of earning $25,000 a year working for Oxfam you can earn $100,000 on Wall Street, live on $25K a year, and donate $75,000 to hire other workers. Doing that allows an individual to triple their contribution to the solution.

In general, this is likely to be a much better anglethan pure do-goodism (though as Anne Bradley and Jay W. Richards explain, enterprise is the most effective altruism). But this approach can e less effective and even hindered by a person’s worldview beliefs, such as what a person believes about the “end times.”

The phrase “end times” tends to conjure up images of Tim Lahaye’s apocalyptic Left Behind novels (and the movies with Kirk Cameron and Nicholas Cage). But while eschatology is frequently associated with religious believers, view about the end times are also held by secularists.

A prime example is belief in the “singularity,” the period in the near future (100 years or less) when artificial intelligence reaches the point where each generation puters and robots can create machines smarter than themselves. Some transhumanists who believe in ing technological singularity even think they’ll be able to upload and store their consciousness to neural networks, similar to the way Gmail saves all your emails to the “cloud.”

Dylan Matthews points out that this type of thinking is influencing the EA movement, especially in Silicon Valley:

Effective altruism (or EA, as proponents refer to it) is more than a belief, though. It’s a movement, and like any movement, it has begun to develop a culture, and a set of powerful stakeholders, and a certain range of worrying pathologies. At the moment, EA is very white, very male, and dominated by tech industry workers. And it is increasingly obsessed with ideas and data that reflect the class position and interests of the movement’s members rather than a desire to help actual people.

In the beginning, EA was mostly about fighting global poverty. Now it’s ing more and more about puter science research to forestall an artificial intelligence–provoked apocalypse. At the risk of overgeneralizing, puter science majors have convinced each other that the best way to save the world is to puter science research. Compared to that, multiple attendees said, global poverty is a “rounding error.”

The recent Effective Altruism Global conference, Matthews adds, was “dominated by talk of existential risks, or X-risks. The idea is that human extinction is far, far worse than anything that could happen to real, living humans today.”

To hear effective altruists explain it, es down to simple math. About 108 billion people have lived to date, but if humanity lasts another 50 million years, and current trends hold, the total number of humans who will ever live is more like 3 quadrillion. Humans living during or before 2015 would thus make up only 0.0036 percent of all humans ever.

The numbers get even bigger when you consider — as X-risk advocates are wont to do — the possibility of interstellar travel.Nick Bostrom— the Oxford philosopher who popularized the concept of existential risk — estimates that about 10^54 human life-years (or 10^52 lives of 100 years each) could be in our future if we both master travel between solar systems and figure out how to emulate human brains puters.

Even if we give this 10^54 estimate “a mere 1% chance of being correct,” Bostrom writes, “we find that the expected value of reducing existential risk by a mereone billionth of one billionth of one percentage pointis worth a hundred billion times as much as a billion human lives.”

Put another way: The number of future humans who will never exist if humans go extinct is so great that reducing the risk of extinction by 0.00000000000000001 percent can be expected to save 100 billion more lives than, say, preventing the genocide of 1 billion people. That argues, in the judgment of Bostrom and others, for prioritizing efforts to prevent human extinction above other endeavors. This is what X-risk obsessives mean when they claim ending world poverty would be a “rounding error.”

Those of us who are Christians may be tempted to dismiss these views as silly and morally obtuse. But while they are indeed silly and morally obtuse, they shouldn’t be disregarded since they serve as a glimpse of our post-Christian future.

Many people subscribe to a sort of “subtraction” theory of secularization in which society will continue to discard Christian doctrine and beliefs and yet retain, with some necessary tweaks, the elements gained from the Christian worldview (the importance of the individual, concern for human dignity, etc.). But as the intellectual vanguard continues to show, that is as naïve a belief as thinking we’ll be able to upload our souls to a thumb drive.

The dismantling of the basic framework of the Christian worldview—creation, fall, redemption, restoration—will require replacing it with new scaffolding. Although this new eschatologically-oriented framework will be fragile and rickety, it’ll be presented with an astounding level of confidence. For instance, as Kerry Vaughan, one of the EA Global, says, “I really do believe that effective altruism could be the last social movement we ever need.”

This is the type of thing we can expect for decades e: our brightest thinkers presenting the stupidest ideas with a maximal degree of hubris.

Fortunately, Christianity and its followers will be around to the end. While the nerds in Silicon Valley spend their time worrying about how to prevent a future in which Skynet ushers in the robot apocalypse, we Christians will continue to effectively apply our altruism to the “rounding errors” they need us today.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Rediscovering the beautiful
“An emphasis on the need for practical use is beneficial when applied to goods in the market, so as to meet the ever changing demands of the consumer,” says Caroline Roberts in this week’s Acton Commentary. “But the value of some goods cannot be reduced to a selling price.” One such good is beauty. Although the market has a role to play in the creation of beautiful things, this essential good can only be fully realized through the work of...
What Eric Whitacre’s ‘virtual choir’ teaches us about globalization and community
The rise of globalization and the expansion of trade are continuously decried for their disruptive effects, particularly as they apply to munity.” Indeed, our strides in global connectedness have e at a local cost, with the small and familiar being routinely replaced by the big and blurry, the intimate with the superficial, and so on. The shift is real and widespread, but it needn’t be the framework of the future. Disruption is sure to continue as collaboration expands and innovation...
5 Facts about nuclear weapons
The current presidential election has once again brought to the fore a question we ask every electoral cycle: Which candidate can be most trusted with nuclear weapons? The consideration given that question, though, is rather modest relative toits importance. Indeed, for those who are concerned about ordered liberty there are few questions more important than who should be in charge of the most powerful arsenal of weapons on earth. We are giving a single individual unprecedented control over weaponry that...
Did Perón inspire Pope Francis on economics?
In a recent article published for The Catholic World Report Samuel Gregg highlights some similarities between Pope Francis and the former president of Argentina, Juan Perón. Gregg asks: “Does a long-deceased Latin American populist provide us with insight into Pope Francis?” Juan Perón served as the president of Argentina from 1946-1955, while Pope Francis was just a teenager, and again from 1973-1974. According to Gregg, the economic views of this potentially influential leader on Pope Francis are: “best described as...
Unemployment as Economic-Spiritual Indicator — July 2016 Report
Series Note: Jobs are one of the most important aspects of a morally functioning economy. They help us serve the needs of our neighbors and lead to human flourishing both for the individual and munities. Conversely, not having a job can adversely affect spiritual and psychological well-being of individuals and families. Because unemployment is a spiritual problem, Christians in America need to understand and be aware of the monthly data on employment. Each month highlight the latest numbers we need...
A humble case for freedom
Are people smart enough to run their own lives? Probably not. Are other people smart enough to direct everyone else’s lives? Definitely not. So if no one is smart enough, what then can we do? “Individually, we may not know much,” says Steven Horwitz, “but together, with the right institutions, we can learn from each other and, collectively, know a lot.” The justification for human freedom is not that we are so smart that we can manage our own lives...
What Christians should know about the time value of money
Note: This is the latest entry in the Acton blog series, “What Christians Should Know About Economics.” For other entries inthe series seethis post. The Term: Time Value of Money What It Means: The time value of money (TVM) is the concept that because of potential earning capacity, money available at the present time is worth more than the same amount at a future time. Why It Matters: Would you rather receive $100 today or $100 one year in the...
Working overtime or working less?
Earlier this year the Obama administration announced the publication of a new Department of Labor rule updating and expanding overtime regulations (here’s an explainer article on what it is and means). There are numerous ways to show how this policy which was intended to help workers will actually hurt them. But sometimes the best way to make a point is with an illustration. Prager U has a new video that shows how this regulation can prevent people from ing salaried...
Samuel Gregg asks, ‘what causes terrorism?’
“[W]hen the center of the global economy is the god of money,” Pope Francis stated recently in an interview, “[t]errorism grows.” Curious about the Pope’s somewhat economistic explanation for Islamist terrorism,Samuel Gregg asks, “do factors such as economic poverty and greed really function as major causes of Islamist terrorism?” He recently wrote an article for the Stream examining this. The available research on this question, Gregg points out, suggests not. As he summarizes: In short, terrorists generally aren’t economically poor...
Globalization, Brexit, and virtue in the world of finance
In a recent interview with MercatorNet, Samuel Gregg explains why the integration of markets is not in itself a bad thing. Gregg starts out by explaining why Brexit does not contradict economic globalization, but why it is actually beneficial to the global economy. Hey says: But Brexit is also patible with economic globalization. Economic globalization is rendering trade blocs such as the EU increasingly irrelevant. Britain now can choose to trade freely with whoever it wants, instead of waiting for...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved