Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
Why Are Scientists Always So Worried About Population Growth?
Why Are Scientists Always So Worried About Population Growth?
Aug 25, 2026 8:56 PM

In 1865, W. Stanley Jevons predicted that with coal reserves of 90 billion tons, England would run out within 100 years. Today, the country has between three trillion and 23 trillion ton, enough to last Britain for centuries.

In 1914, the Bureau of Mines fretted that with a total future production limit of 5.7 billion barrels, the U.S. only had about a ten-year supply of oil. Today, a hundred years later, we’re estimated to have 36 billion barrels left in the ground.

In 1968, Paul Ehrlich predicted that because of an inability to produce enough food, hundreds of millions of people would starve in the 1970s. Instead, the population has doubled—from 3.5 to 7 billion—and the number of famine victims from bined is less than in the 1960s.

Each time experts predicted a decline in natural resources would be detrimental to population growth. And each time history proved the experts wrong.

Yet despite this history, modern scientists are still more pessimistic about population growth than the general public, according to a pair of 2014 Pew Research Center surveys.

Asked whether or not the growing world population will be a major problem, 59% of Americans agreed it will strain the planet’s natural resources, while 82% of U.S.-based members of the American Association for the Advancement of Science said the same. Just 17% of AAAS scientists and 38% of Americans said population growth won’t be a problem because we will find a way to stretch natural resources.

Why are scientists so pessimistic? What do they think we’ll run out of? Surely, they can’t believe we’ll run out of food. As Heinz-Wilhelm Strubenhoff at Brookings notes, we could easily—by increasing the efficiency of current farmland and reducing food waste—feed 10 billion people, the projected population in 2100.

Population is expected to grow for the next 25 years, but because of declining fertility, is expected to begin declining. So in 2015 the population is 7 billion and by 2015 it will likely be . . . 7 billion. Again.

Perhaps what we should be worried about is a future in which there is an abundance of natural resources and too few people around to appreciate God’s Creation.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
Eric Hobsbawm revisited
The life of the late British Marxist historian Eric Hobsbawm is subject of Richard J. Evans’ newest book Eric Hobsbawm – A Life in History (2019). Evans is a scholar of Nazi Germany and like Hobsbawm, a former professor at Cambridge University. Before I start to analyze Evans’ book, I must make a personal note: My attachment to Hobsbawm’s work is not only intellectual but emotional. The first substantial book on history read by me was his The Age of...
Religious faith: It’s a market?
When a market is mentioned, buying, selling, and everyday business activities e to mind. Economists Rachel M. McCleary and Robert J. Barro have a broader focus in their new book, The Wealth of Religions: The Political Economy of Believing and Belonging. Building on over a decade of work considering religion and economic growth, the authors approach religion as an economist would study any market characterized by demand and supply. The Wealth of Religions develops insights into economic and social situations...
Upcoming scholarship deadline: July 15
Time is running out to apply for the Acton Institute’s Calihan Academic Grants! These awards are designed to support seminarians and graduate students in theology, philosophy, politics, economics, or related fields as they engage in serious study on the relationship between religion, liberty, theology, the free market, and the virtuous society. If you or someone you know is interested in applying, go to the Calihan Academic Grants page, where you can apply now or learn more about eligibility and application...
Who are the candidates for UK prime minister/Conservative Party leader?
Nominations for the leadership of the Conservative Party – and, thus, to e the next prime minister of the United Kingdom – closed at 5 p.m. London time (noon EDT). The list of successful candidates was released by the 1922 Committee an hour later. Under new Tory rules, a candidate needed the support of eight Members of Parliament, up from two, in order to advance to the first round of voting. The 10 candidates running to succeed Theresa May as...
Moral and religious people created by God not the state
Last week Joe Carter helpfully gathered many of the contributions to what John Zmirak has called ‘The Iran-Iraq War Among Conservatives’. This at times heated exchange is largely between liberal and illiberal American conservatives and it is an important and lively one. I’m squarely in the liberal conservative camp believing, with Lord Acton, that freedom is the highest political good. It would be wrong, however, to dismiss the very real concerns and anxieties of the illiberal conservatives. The best articulation...
Progressive activists object to State Department panel on ‘unalienable rights’
Two weeks ago the Department of State announced its intention to create a Commission on Unalienable Rights. The stated purpose of the Commission will be to “provide the Secretary of State advice and mendations concerning international human rights matters. The Commission will provide fresh thinking about human rights discourse where such discourse has departed from our nation’s founding principles of natural law and natural rights.” An unalienable right is a right that cannot be bartered away, or given away, or...
Winners of 2019 Mini-Grants on Free Market Economics
The Acton Institute Mini-Grants on Free Market Economics program accepts proposals from faculty members at colleges, seminaries, and universities in the United States and Canada in order to promote the scholarship and teaching of market economics. This program allows for collaboration between faculty from different universities, as well as help future leaders to emerge, strengthen, and expand the existing network of scholars within economics. Entrants may submit proposals in two broad categories: course development and faculty scholarship. Here is plete...
Equality and the ever-changing definition of ‘human rights’
The misapplication of the word “equality” has caused more problems than perhaps any concept in Western history. A misunderstanding of equality lies behind maladies from the rise of socialism and 100 years of Marxist repression to the present culture wars. “The principles of equality and non-discrimination have e plex in recent years because they are being extended to behaviors and lifestyles, not merely to persons,” according to the book Equality and Non-Discrimination: Catholic Roots, Current Challenges by Jane F. Adolphe,...
Red, white, and gray: American policy and people
“Red, white, and gray: Population aging, deaths of despair, and the institutional stagnation of America” is a new essay by American Enterprise Institute Adjunct Fellow Lyman Stone touching on pressing demographic and policy issues in the United States. While the paper uncovers the bleak condition of some American institutions, it presents a hopeful horizon and strong call for action in our social life. As the title suggests, Stone opens by describing the American population’s increasing age, due in part to...
Introduction to fiscal policy
Note: This is post #124 in a weekly video series on basic economics. What is fiscal policy? As economist Tyler Cowen explains, it’s a government’s policies on taxes, spending, and borrowing. But how it’s practiced is a little plicated. Fiscal policy can be used in an effort to mitigate fluctuations in the business cycle so as to soften the effects of booms and busts. In this video by Marginal Revolution University, Cowen discusses expansionary fiscal policy and explains the “fiscal...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved