Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
United Airlines and the economist who solved the overbooking problem
United Airlines and the economist who solved the overbooking problem
Dec 15, 2025 1:26 AM

This weekend a video went viral that shows a passenger on a United Airlines flight from Chicago to Louisville being forcibly removed from the plane before takeoff at O’Hare International Airport. According to an eyewitness of the incident:

Passengers were told at the gate that the flight was overbooked and United, offering $400 and a hotel stay, was looking for one volunteer to take another flight to Louisville at 3 p.m. Monday. Passengers were allowed to board the flight, Bridges said, and once the flight was filled those on the plane were told that four people needed to give up their seats to stand-by United employees that needed to be in Louisville on Monday for a flight. Passengers were told that the flight would not take off until the United crew had seats, Bridges said, and the offer was increased to $800, but no one volunteered.

Then, she said, a manager came aboard the plane and said puter would select four people to be taken off the flight. One couple was selected first and left the airplane, she said, before the man in the video was confronted.

As many people on social media have pointed out, the solution to the problem seems clear: United should have offered more money until someone accepted. But that solution, while obvious to us today, wasn’t so obvious in the past. In fact, randomly removing passengers was airline policy until economist Julian Simon came up with a solution.

In a 2014 article for Fortune, Chris Matthews explains how Simon helped transform airline travel:

Simon helped revolutionize the airline industry by popularizing the idea that carriers should stop randomly removing passengers from overbooked flights and instead auction off the right to be bumped by offering vouchers that go up in value until all the necessary seats have been reassigned. Simon came up with the idea for these auctions in the 1960s, but he wasn’t able to get regulators interested in allowing it until the 1970s. Up until that time, Litan writes, “airlines deliberately did not fill their planes and thus flew with less capacity than they do now, a circumstance that made customers fortable, but reduced profits for airlines.” And this, of course, meant they had to charge passengers more pensate.

Economist James Heins says the shift to pensation led to a savings in the U.S. economy of about $100 billion over the last three decades. This has allowed airlines to operate at a higher capacity and makes flights more profitable while reducing air fares and increasing tax revenues.

“People know about the system, but they don’t know where it came from,” said Heins, who worked with Simon at the University of Illinois. “I think they should. There are a lot of important research breakthroughs on campuses, but few generate $100 billion in savings to the American economy.”

Simon understood a basic fact of economics—one that United Airlines seems to have temporarily forgotten: People respond to incentives. If United had simply provided a proper economic incentive (i.e., pensation for the hassle of missing a flight), they could have saved pany millions in lawsuits and bad press. Instead, they are learning what happens when a corporation treats interactions with customers as a zero-sum game rather than as an opportunity to use incentives to make everyone involved better off.

(If Simon’s name sounds familiar, it’s probably because you’ve heard of his famous bet with would-be doomsday prophet Paul Ehrlich.)

Link via: Tyler Cowen

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
The Fat Tax and Government’s Morality Substitute
Public health officials estimate that Americans consume an average of 40 gallons of sugary soda per person per year. But now thanks to the tireless efforts of Michael Bloomberg, NYC’s Mayor and Nanny-in-Chief, the average New Yorker will now only consume 39.2 gallons of sugary soda per person per year.* On Thursday, New York City passed the first U.S. ban of oversized sugary drinks as a way of curbing the obesity epidemic. Violators of the ban face a $200 fine...
Nuns vs. Managers in the Proxy Wars
For many nuns in the U.S. April is a busy month. Not only do they have the liturgical season of Easter but they have the proxy season of corporate governance. The proxy season is the time when panies hold their annual shareholder meetings. During these meeting any shareholders who own more than $2,000 in stock or 1% of pany can mend pany take a specific course of action or institute a policy change for the betterment of pany. As the...
Retailer Hobby Lobby Sues Over HHS Mandate
Yesterday, privately-owned Hobby Lobby, a popular craft store chain, filed suit opposing the HHS mandate which forces employers to provide “preventive care” measures such as birth-control and “morning after” pills. “By being required to make a choice between sacrificing our faith or paying millions of dollars in fines, we essentially must choose which poison pill to swallow,” said David Green, Hobby Lobby CEO and founder. “We simply cannot abandon our religious beliefs ply with this mandate.” Hobby Lobby is the...
Of Ministers and Muck Farmers
In today’s Acton Commentary, “Mike Rowe and Manual Labor,” I examine the real contribution from a star of the small screen to today’s political conversation. Mike Rowe, featured on shows like The Deadliest Catch and Dirty Jobs, has written letters to both President Obama and Mitt Romney focusing attention on the skills gap and our nation’s dysfunctional attitudes towards work, particularly hard labor, like skilled trades and services. In his letter to Romney, Rowe writes that “Pig farmers, electricians, plumbers,...
ResearchLinks – 09.14.12
Working Paper: “Top Ten Myths of Medicare” Richard L. Kaplan (University of Illinois College of Law),Illinois Program in Law, Behavior and Social Science Paper No. LBSS13-02; Illinois Public Law Research Paper No. 11-28; SSRN, Working Paper Series (PDF) In the context of changing demographics, the increasing cost of health care services, and continuing federal budgetary pressures, Medicare has e one of the most controversial federal programs. To facilitate an informed debate about the future of this important public initiative, this...
Leaves and Fruit: The Spiritual Value of Manual Labor
In his Acton Commentary today, Jordan Ballor writes, All work has a spiritual dimension because the human person who works in whatever capacity does so as an image-bearer of God. “While the classic Greek mind tended to scorn work with the hands,” write Berghoef and DeKoster, “the Bible suggests that something about it structures the soul.” If we derogate work with the hands, manual and skilled labor, in this way, we separate what God has put together and create a...
Acton Institute’s New Building Has Room To Grow
The Acton Institute is anticipating a move to our new building in the heart of Grand Rapids, MI. With the generous funding of donors, the 24,000 square feet of space will allow us to serve an even munity. Acton’s Executive Director, Kris Mauren, says the $6 million renovation allows the Institute to remain in its Grand Rapids home, while raising its international profile. “This is a great place to be and it doesn’t stop us from being the international organization...
Interrupt Me, Please?
Today’s blog post is from one of our faithful On Call in munity members, Sheila Seiler Lagrand, Ph.D. who earned her doctorate in anthropology at the University of California, Los Angeles. As an undergraduate at the University of California, San Diego, she studied anthropology and literature with an emphasis in writing. Currently she blogs at Godspotting with Sheila and contributes regularly at BibleDude.net. Sheila is a member of the The High Calling. Her work has appeared in Chicken Soup for...
Speed Cameras and Moral Culture
In an odd story from Maryland, Ari Ashe of WTOP reports, Many people find speed cameras frustrating, and some in the region are taking their rage out on the cameras themselves. But now there’s a new solution: cameras to watch the cameras. Yes, you read that correctly. Prince George’s County, Maryland, has a problem with people vandalizing their speed cameras and their solution is to install additional cameras to watch them. In response, Michael Rosenwald says what many others surely...
Playing at Poverty
Yesterday at , a leading social media site, an article entitled ‘5 Fun Games With a Higher Purpose‘ was featured. The article noted that these types of games attempted bine fun with some sort of societal impact. One game, Darfur is Dying, allows the player to simulate life in a Darfuri refugee camp for a family. If one family member leaves to get water and is killed or captured, the player must choose the next family member to send out....
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved