Home
/
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
/
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
The Chaos Theory of Career Development
Dec 13, 2025 8:54 PM

[Note: This month hundreds of thousands of young people will be graduating from high schools and colleges across America. Because I’ve had an unusual vocational path, I thought I’d offer them some unsolicited career advice. Admittedly, its not ground-breaking guidance. But I figure someone might benefit from hearing that they don’t have to have their career path already planned out in order to be successful.]

“What do you want to be when you grow up?” It’s a question that people begin asking you around the age five and will haunts you until adulthood, when it transmogrifies into, “Where do you see yourself in five years?”

To avoid the disappointing and scornful glances e from answering truthfully (“To be honest, I have no absolutely no clue.”) we learn to respond with a pat occupational objective. But asJeremy Dean of PsyBlogonce noted:

Most of us like to think that we have chosen our occupations, rather than them choosing us. We have reasons for what we are doing, visions of where we want to get to. We have career planning, career goals – the feeling of control.And yet if you ask people about their career decisions, almost 70% report that they have been significantly influenced by chance events. The two Australian psychologists who carried out this research, published [February 2007] in theJournal of Vocational Behaviour, believe they have provided further support for the Chaos Theory of Career Development.

Vocational researchers examining “chaos theory” tend to emphasize not the consistent, orderly nature of career patterns, but rather the importance of initial conditions and the impact of seemingly random perturbations on career development, that somewhat disrupt the ultimate trajectory of individual careers.

Some of these “random perturbations” include:

Technological changes— Changes in technology since World War II not only affect the way in which we do our work but can create entire industries—virtually overnight. Take, for example, the changes produced by the Internet. When I started college in 1987, the only people who knew about the web were the geeks in the Computer Science lab. Now almost every occupation is affected by the web. The vocational roles I currently have did not even exist twenty years ago. Sometime during your life you will likely spend time in a career that does not exist in 2014.

Miswanting— People are bad choosers. A variety of studies show that we are terrible at predicting what will make us happy in the future, a phenomenon that has been termed “miswanting.” We think we know what will give us pleasure in the future (money, status) but when the future arrives we may find that what we really desire is another mix of goods (health insurance, job security). Be flexible and recognize that the hopes and desires you have now — at the age of 18-25 —will change radically over the next ten years. This is not “giving up on your dreams”; this is realizing that the dreams you thought your future self would want were not really what you wanted at all.

Limited options— At an early age boys tend to want to be fireman or police officers, while girls want to be doctors or teachers. Children have an extremely limited awareness of the vocational options available. While almost every child has seen where a nurse works, few have seen the offices of an investment banker. Even during college most students aren’t truly aware of just how broad the opportunities are available to them and so choose a path based on their limited experience. There is a good chance your future job title will be one you never could have imagined because you never knew it existed.

But while we may not necessarily be able pletely control the trajectory of our careers, we can influence the initial conditions. From my own experience I’ve found that three conditions — skills, network, and mindset — are particularly significant for career development:

Focus on skill clusters— From the age of twelve until now (age 44), I’ve had thirty six distinct jobs. Almost all of them, however, can be lumped into one of four clusters: low-skill service jobs (e.g., limo driver, golf caddy, waiter), apprentice-level skilled labor (oilfield electrician’s assistant; irrigator’s assistant; farrier/horseshoer’s assistant); mid-level manager (various military jobs); or jobs dependent munication skills (web editor, SAT tutor; research director for a presidential candidate, adjunct professor of journalism). The skill sets I’ve acquired, rather than my preferences, have often determined what work was available to me. Choose skill clusters carefully, for they will have a significant impact on the path your career takes.

Who knows you is more important than a resume— The career cliché “It’s not what you know but who you know” is only partially true. A better version would be “It’s not what you know butwho knows you.” Almost every job I’ve ever had — from getting hired as a sacker at Piggly Wiggly to my role here at the Acton Institute — e from someone who already works in that field knowing and mending me to an employer. Expand your network, develop a good reputation, and your career will (mostly) take care of itself.

You have no idea where you are going, or when the trip will begin.— That’s the title of Chapter 1 in Hugh Hewitt’s invaluable guide,In But Not Of: A Guide to Christian Ambition and the Desire to Influence the World. As Hewitt points out, “Your circumstances today may or may not be particularly promising, but circumstances change, sometimes slowly and sometimes in the space of a day.” The example he gives is that at the age of 40, Alexander Solzhenitsyn was teaching math, Karol Wolitya (John Paul II) was an obscure bishop in Poland, and Ronald Reagan was a washed up B-movie actor. Yet all three would eventually play a role in bringing down the Soviet Union. We don’t know where our lives will lead, which means we must be ready for es. Prepare for your call, rather than your career.

Above all, remember that while you cannot be anythingyouwant to be, you can be anything thatGodwants you to be. He’s given you skills and interests that will allow you, if you seek his guidance by reading his Word and obeying mands, to find your way. Our Creator clearly sees your path even if, from your current, limited perspective, it may look like chaos. Trust God and step out boldly, for you have an exciting journey ahead of you.

Comments
Welcome to mreligion comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
RELIGION & LIBERTY ONLINE
C.S. Lewis on the Reality of the Moral Law
On the short list of the most enduring Christian books of the twentieth century is C.S. Lewis’s Mere Christianity. The book originated from a series of radio lectures that aired on the BBC during World War II. A YouTube channel called CSLewisDoodle contains a number of videos that illustrate some of Lewis’s selected essays to make them easier to understand. In this video, Lewis talks about the reality of the universal natural law. ...
Chobani’s CEO on the Art of Executive Stewardship
As politicians continue to decry the supposed “greed” of well-paid investors, business leaders, and entrepreneurs — promoting a variety of reforms that seek to mandate minimums or cap executive pay — pany is demonstrating the value of economic freedom and market diversity. Chobani, a privately ownedgreek yogurtmanufacturer,recentlyannounced it will be giving a 10% ownership stake to its roughly 2,000 full-time workers,a move that couldresult in hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of dollars for someemployees. According to the New York...
5 Reasons Millennials Should Support ‘Capitalism’
A recent national survey by the Harvard Institute of Politics finds that a majority of Millennials (18- to 29-year olds) do not support capitalism as a political theory. One-third of them, however, do support socialism. As a rule, I try not to put too much stock in such surveys because opinion polls make us dumb. But it’s e obvious that a significant portion of younger American are truly so under-educated that they truly believe socialism is preferable to capitalism. Perhaps...
Bruce Wayne and the Tragedy of Ineffective Compassion
A few weeks ago in connection with Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice,I looked at Lex Luthor as the would-be crony capitalistüber Alles, and pointed to Bruce Wayne along with Senator Finch as the economic and political counterpoints to such corruption, respectively. In this week’s Acton Commentary, Daniel Menjivar looks more closely at Bruce Wayne as representative of aristocratic virtue, the capitalist hero to Luthor’s crony capitalist villain. And while, as Menjivar concludes, “In cape and cowl he is a...
Does Free Trade Between Texas and California Cost Jobs?
There is something about an election year that causes otherwise rational people to lose all economic sense. Take, for example, the issue of free trade. The opposition to free trade on both sides of the politial spectrum is baffling. Yet progressives seem particularly confused, seeming to hold two opposing views on trade at the same time. “Have you ever wondered if you are a progressive?” asks economist Scot Sumner. e up with a two-part test. If you believe in both...
David Brat on the Need for Theologians Who Understand Economics
“I never saw a supply and demand curve in seminary. I should have.” This was written by Virginia Congressman David Brat in an academic paper back in 2011, when he was still an economics professor at Randolph-Macon College. The paper offers a unique exploration of the intersections of economics, policy, and theology, promoting a holistic view of economic freedom and social justice united with Christian witness. Brat, who holds both a Master of Divinity and a Ph.D in economics, has...
Radio Free Acton: Raymond Arroyo on Mother Angelica and the Power of Story
Raymond Arroyo of EWTN speaks at the 2016 Acton Lecture Series It was a pleasure to host Raymond Arroyo, host of EWTN’s The World Over, as part of the Acton Lecture Series on April 14th, and on today’s edition of Radio Free Acton, we’re pleased to bring you a conversation between Raymond Arroyo and Acton Institute President Rev. Robert A. Sirico. Over the course of their wide-ranging discussion, they talk about the life and legacy of EWTN Founder Mother Angelica,...
Work and Eternity
A distinctive of neo-Calvinism, that movement associated with a late-nineteenth century Dutch revival of Reformational Christianity in the Netherlands, is its focus in emphasis if not also in substance not only on individuals but also on institutions. As Richard Mouw puts it, “At the heart of the neo-Calvinist perspective on cultural multiformity is an insistence that the redemption plished by Christ is not only about the salvation of individuals—it is the reclaiming of the whole creation.” This holistic perspective has...
State Department Identifies ‘Countries of Particular Concern’ on Religious Freedom
In 1998, the U.S. took an important step in promoting religious freedom as a foreign policy objective with the passage of the International Religious Freedom Act of 1998 (IRF Act). Designed to “strengthen United States advocacy on behalf of, individuals persecuted in foreign countries on account of religion,” the law authorized “actions in response to violations of religious freedom in foreign countries.” The act also requires that that Secretary of State identify “countries of particular concern,” a designation reserved for...
Bruce Wayne: A Capitalist Superhero
“The real hero of the recently released Batman v. Superman film is an often overshadowed character, Bruce Wayne,” says Daniel Menjivar in this week’s Acton Commentary. “Batman’s alter ego, Bruce Wayne is the CEO of Wayne Enterprises and the hero that Gotham, and in the case of this film, Metropolis needs too. Bruce Wayne is, in fact, a capitalist superhero.” In an opening scene, we find Wayne landing in the city of Metropolis as Superman and General Zod battle in...
Related Classification
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.mreligion.com All Rights Reserved